Topic: Contender Series 2023

Contender Series 2023: Week 1

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Tapology
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05.05.2023 | 1:45 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
Contender Series 2023
  • Tuesday 08.08.2023 at 07:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: ESPN+
  • Promotion: Dana White's Contender Series
  • Ownership:
  • Venue: UFC Apex
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Dan Hellie, Laura Sanko, Paul Felder
  • Ring Announcer: Justin Bernard
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Laura Sanko
  • MMA Bouts: 5
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
César Almeida   defeats   Lucas Fernando   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Tom Nolan   defeats   Bogdan Grad   via KO/TKO, Left Hook and Ground Punch   1:23 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Caio Machado   defeats   Kevin Szaflarski   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Payton Talbott   defeats   Reyes Cortez   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Kevin Borjas   defeats   Victor Dias   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 6

Zackwarlick
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08.08.2023 | 3:04 PM ET

Moth

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 115 Points   |   Tied for 411th

I agree with you that could definitely be an issue but is Reyes Cortez the one to do it? Probably not. But it could be a way a future opponent secures the win
baremaras
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08.08.2023 | 3:06 PM ET

mothswords

Predictions: 1 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 50 Points   |   Tied for 844th

i guess it's possible but talbott always actively tries to get back up and doesn't accept bottom position and cortez's grappling is all takedowns and very little bjj/top control

the tricky part is that talbott's way of getting up isn't really technical, it's just him being waaay more athletic than every guy he fights so the question is when does his lack of grappling technique eventually fail him? i do not think this is the fight
Dmitriev
Dmitriev
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08.08.2023 | 3:11 PM ET

I don't really understand why many people consider Kevin Borjas a promising dog. All of his wins from the first to the last fight are stuffed on weak and old fighters in Peru and his last two opponents are 35 and 37 years old. His record and victories look like a fraud.
Whereas Diaz has good wins over good regional guys.

* Edited at 08.08.2023, 3:13 PM ET *

AyyLmaonnaise
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08.08.2023 | 3:14 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 165 Points   |   Tied for 160th

@moths not really. Cortez wrestling is not as good as people make it out to be. Christian rivas (Talbots last opponent) is imo a much better wrestler, and Payton defended about 15 takedowns from him and got back up pretty easily each time. On the feet I don’t think this fight is close. Payton is much more dynamic, hits harder, and has insane cardio. Reyes is a solid boxer but he has no killer instinct. Even when he hurts people he doesn’t chase the finish. Usually that’s a good habit but Reyes is hurting regional fighters and still being very timid. His striking defense is also really bad. You could say the same for Payton too but he actually moves his head sometimes, Reyes does not 

I quite like talbott, he reminds me a lot of Suga sean early in his career. Super flashy striker but needs some work in striking defense and wrestling. He has that “it” factor to me; there’s something about him that comes across as different, probably the way he acts and carries himself 

* Edited at 08.08.2023, 3:17 PM ET *

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

masta8
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08.08.2023 | 3:51 PM ET

@AyyLmaonnaise 
thanks a lot 👍
IceOrc
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08.08.2023 | 4:14 PM ET

Predictions: 1 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 65 Points   |   Tied for 824th

I understand correctly that this card is not for betting? Basically fighting lowskills with lowskills and predators with predators?

* Edited at 08.08.2023, 4:15 PM ET *

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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08.08.2023 | 4:37 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 165 Points   |   Tied for 160th

Damn why all the downvotes?🤣🤣 

I get people don’t like me but I thought I was being pretty fair there 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Cschulz100
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08.08.2023 | 4:59 PM ET

You know I’m a big fan of yours AyyLmao
SolarCowboy
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08.08.2023 | 5:27 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 3 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 190 Points   |   Tied for 109th

Almeida vs. Fernando
César Almeida, TKO, R1
Cesar Almeida +235 .5 units

Machado vs. Szaflarski
Kevin Szaflarski, DEC
Machado/Szaflarski over 1.5 rounds -145 1.5 units Kevin Szaflarski -130 1.5 units

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Meluka
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08.08.2023 | 5:42 PM ET

@AyyLmaonnaise 
yeah I think your analysis is spot on, as soon as I started watching Payton I immediately got the “it” factor you’re talking about, i like your O’Malley comp too, I had said he reminds me of Luke Riley myself. 

I think people are taking Reyes on account of seeing he already has a Contender Series fight and his sister is Tracy Cortez, and those people are probably downvoting you lol. Reyes has a puncher’s chance imo because Payton does leave himself open to getting hit a little bit, but I just don’t think Reyes has the power to punish it. If he tries grappling he’s gonna gas himself and get finished. 

I just went in for a little more on Payton, def my favorite play on the card

* Edited at 08.08.2023, 5:43 PM ET *

paulopasta
paulopasta

08.08.2023 | 5:58 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points   |   Tied for 514th

Almeida vs. Fernando
Lucas Fernando, TKO, R2
This is a great fight but I don’t think it will be super competitive. Fernando is just so good and much younger. He can beat Almeida anywhere. Almeida is an elite kickboxer but not everyone is Alex Pereira. I think Fernando gets a finish in under 2 rounds

Nolan vs. Grad
Tom Nolan, DEC
Tight fight here. Bogdan is more experienced and on paper better but I’m gonna go with Nolan here. He’s a big 155er with great cardio and volume. I think his size will play a factor here over the very short Bogdan. But it’s a very close fight

Machado vs. Szaflarski
Kevin Szaflarski, TKO, R2
This one is a bum fight for me. Kind of a coin flip

Talbott vs. Cortez
Payton Talbott, TKO, R3
Talbott is looking like a bright prospect. He can get wrestled early but gets better as the fight goes on. I think he’s gonna light up Cortez who was a punching bag for CeeRod. I think Talbott has that kind of skill

Borjas vs. Dias
Victor Dias, SUB, R1
Mismatch. Dias is the much better fighter with better competition and overall skill set

Oddsbot
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08.08.2023 | 6:15 PM ET

Woebegone New Predictions

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 125 Points   |   Tied for 342nd

Machado vs. Szaflarski
I embrace Kevin Szaflarski at -130. He has a villainous hammerfist. Szaflarski isn't about to capture the humiliating defeat. Guaranteed!

Almeida vs. Fernando
I am all over Lucas Fernando at -270. He has a radical training style. Fernando will likely bury the achievement.

Borjas vs. Dias
I love Victor Dias at -410. He has a wondrous Samoan driver and a quick armpit slam. Dias will flaunt the cage. Beep boop!

Nolan vs. Grad
I embrace Tom Nolan at -145. He has a weak hiza guruma. Nolan is gonna choke the masterpiece.

Talbott vs. Cortez
I take Payton Talbott at -155. He has a sophisticated harai goshi and a final dim mak and also a leaden knife hand block. Talbott is gonna deny the previous pitfalls.

"This is the droid you're looking for."

AyyLmaonnaise
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08.08.2023 | 6:30 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 165 Points   |   Tied for 160th

@cschultz thanks buddy 

@meluka right? There’s just something about him. I love how he just flows out there with his striking. I don’t think cortez will be able to deal with the insane pressure of talbott for three rounds

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

el222
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08.08.2023 | 6:36 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 115 Points   |   Tied for 411th



tianofcreation
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08.08.2023 | 6:46 PM ET

Predictions: 4 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 200 Points   |   Tied for 61st

Borjaz baby

"https://mmawise.substack.com/"

Calfoth
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08.08.2023 | 6:49 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 150 Points   |   Tied for 260th

Dana in the back: Remember be Joe Pyfer 

"POUND FOR POUND, HEADSHOT, DEAD - Leon Edwards "

Calfoth
Calfoth
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08.08.2023 | 7:01 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 150 Points   |   Tied for 260th

Sound? 

"POUND FOR POUND, HEADSHOT, DEAD - Leon Edwards "

AyyLmaonnaise
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08.08.2023 | 7:06 PM ET

Predictions: 3 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 165 Points   |   Tied for 160th

Time for the gianni fade

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Calfoth
Calfoth
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08.08.2023 | 7:07 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 1 Perfect, 150 Points   |   Tied for 260th

NOOOO THE SLEEZY GREEK IS BACK 

"POUND FOR POUND, HEADSHOT, DEAD - Leon Edwards "

Squeakypuff
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08.08.2023 | 7:07 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 5 Winners, 0 Perfect, 100 Points   |   Tied for 514th

Yannis teeth are scaring me reminds me of a science class skeleton

"I'll make my own damn quote." -Me

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